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Paul R.
Iarpa-Certified Superforecaster at Good Judgment
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Work Experience
Iarpa-Certified Superforecaster
Oct 2014 - Present · 10 years and 2 months
Vice President
Apr 2010 - Nov 2012 · 2 years and 7 months
Energy Security Chair
Oct 2007 - Oct 2012 · 5 years
Company Details
11-50 Employees
Good Judgment Inc seeks to improve forecasting for better decision-making. The company is a commercial spinoff from the Good Judgment Project – the most successful participant in a research program sponsored by IARPA (the intelligence community's equivalent of DARPA) looking for means to improve crowd-sourced geopolitical and economic forecasts for policymakers. Good Judgment offers forecasts from its professional Superforecasters on both subscription and custom bases. We also bring the science of accountable forecasting to public and private sector clients through training workshops, online training programs, and internal forecasting "tournaments." The company's principals include: • Warren Hatch, CEO (hatch@goodjudgment.com); • David Wayrynen, co-founder and CTO (wayrynen@goodjudgment.com); • Marc Koehler, Vice President (koehler@goodjudgment.com); and • Anna Zeng, CLO (zeng@goodjudgment.com). In addition, CEO Emeritus Terry L. Murray (murray@goodjudgment.com), Barbara A. Mellers (mellers@goodjudgment.com), and Philip E. Tetlock (tetlock@goodjudgment.com), are co-founders and advisors.
Year Founded
2014
Social Media
LinkedinFacebookTwitter
Industry
IT Services and IT Consulting
HQ Location
100 Park Avenue Floor 16 New York, NY 10017, US
Keywords
geopolitical forecasting and cognitive de-biasing training
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